Mike Florio Doesn’t Understand Math

This draft of a new trade value chart came off of Mike Florio's Profootballtalk.com, and without any credit, I can only assume Florio is making it up himself. Granted, the old chart needs to be updated to reflect the fact that player quality is not increasing as quickly as rookie signing bonuses. But this is a little weird.

First, the gaps between first round picks do not follow a steady curve downward. For example, it costs 10 points to go from 12 up to 11, but 40 points to go from 13 to 12? And then there's a 100 point gap between 16 and 17. Is this because there's some perceived value to being in the first half of the first round? And if that is the reason for the strange distribution, shouldn't a new chart try to eliminate those kinds of bogus reasons that agents use to get more money for their unproved rookies? I'll also assume that's why the #31 pick is worth 410 points, the #32 pick is worth 405 points and the #33 pick is worth a paltry 250 points; because the #33 pick is in the second round. The old chart follows a pretty smooth curve and has worked pretty well up until this point. I thought the only changes really needed were to devalue the top few picks a little.

Also, since Florio is such a nitpicky pretentious ass most of the time, I'll take this moment to point out that compensatory picks can't be traded and therefore shouldn't be on a trade chart. (picture me sticking my tongue out here and saying "nyah!")

I know, a math-ish post. I'll have to owe you the cheerleader pick to make up for it. Post your requests to this entry and I'll put it up on Monday.